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Democrats come home to Joe Biden – US News & World Report | Casual Expat

After many months of Democratic dissatisfaction with President Joe Biden and the state of the country, Democrats are coming home – barely in time for the vulnerable party ahead of a challenging midterm election.

Biden’s approval ratings plummeted for most of the year, in part due to opinion polls, dissatisfaction among the Democratic base — women, black and Hispanic voters, and young people concerned with the pace of the progressive reforms they seek make, dissatisfied are inflation.

But recently, after a string of presidential legislation victories and a base strengthened by the Supreme Court ruling that overturned guaranteed abortion rights, Biden is getting better marks from voters vital to Democrats, as they fight to retain control of the Senate and House of Representatives this fall.

An NBC poll released over the weekend shows Biden has significantly improved his standing with his base. More than half of female voters (52%) now approve of Biden’s performance, up from 47% in August, the polls show. The same was true for Hispanics (who rose from 40% support for Biden in August to 48% in the September poll) and voters between the ages of 18 and 34, whose approval rating for Biden rose from 36% in August to 48% this month.

In the same poll, Democrats and Republicans were also involved in the “generic vote” — the question of whether voters would prefer Democrats or Republicans to lead Congress. That’s a slight improvement for Democrats, who trailed the GOP 47% to 45% in August, but not a statistically significant change.

Cartoons about the Democratic Party

A recent survey by Siena College for the New York Times shows similar trends. The percentage of Democrats who believe the country is on “the right path” rose to 50% in September from 27% in July, according to the Times poll, and Biden’s approval rating among Democrats rose to 83 from 70% in July % in this month.

An AP-NORC poll, meanwhile, showed Biden’s approval rating among Democrats rose to 78% in September from 65% in July.

These numbers may or may not be relevant to Biden’s own political future. He told CBS’ 60 Minutes Sunday night that while it is his “intention” to run for re-election in 2024, “it remains to be seen” if he will do so.

But his approval rating can affect voter turnout. Until the summer months, party officials feared that discouraged Democrats would not be motivated to vote at all. Recent polls paint a better picture for Democrats, with the Siena College/Times poll finding roughly equal percentages — 52% Republicans and 51% Democrats — are “almost certain” of voting this fall.

YouGov polls also show improvement for Democrats among their grassroots voters. Democrats, for example, have a 25-point lead among Hispanics (50.9% to 26.1%), compared to a dangerously low 6 percentage point lead for Democrats (43.3% to 37.1%) in July.

Voters under 30 prefer Democrats by a 27 percentage point margin (49.1 to 21.8) and YouGov, up from a mere 5 percentage point margin (38.7 to 33.5) in February. Support for Democrats among women has also increased: Democrats had just a 5 percentage point advantage among female voters in March (42.1% versus 37%), but the advantage widened following the Supreme Court ruling on abortion Democrats advantage dramatically, reaching a last August peak of 51.7% on Republican support of 31.5%.

And black voters — a key element of the Democratic base — also appear to be warming to Biden again. Over the summer there were signs that black support for Biden was cooling; A Washington Post poll in July found that 7 in 10 black voters approved of Biden, but only 23% “strongly” agreed. This month’s Siena College/New York Times poll found that 72% of black voters have a positive opinion of Biden, including 34% who have a “very positive” opinion of him.

The polls do little to guarantee a Democrat victory — either in individual races or in party control in Congress, as Americans remain concerned about inflation, crime and other areas where polls show Republicans will be more trusted if there is to deal with the problems. And the party in power in the White House has historically tended to lose seats in Congress in the midterms.

But the latest poll is welcome news for Democrats, who have been one of Biden’s biggest problems in previous polls. Moderate Democrats were unhappy about high gas prices, inflation and crime, while progressives felt that Biden was not making the policy changes they wanted in areas such as social spending and climate change.

But as the midterms approach, many progressives are looking to the decisions this fall and are rallying around Democrats — or at least against Republicans, activists say.

“Progressives can be absolutely frustrated with the pace of progress and understand what’s at stake,” Nse Ufot, chief executive officer of the New Georgia Project, a progressive group, said on a recent conference call to discuss the group’s efforts with voters register and issue. “That’s exactly what we’re seeing,” she said.

Biden shrugged off a question on “60 Minutes” about whether, at 79, he was too old or mentally unfit to run the country or run again.

“Pretty good shape, huh?” said the President when his age was brought up. “Watch me,” Biden added when asked how he feels when people question his mental acuity. “Honest to God, that’s all I’m thinking: Watch me.”

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